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The Popularity of Lotteries
Lotteries are popular as a means of raising money for many types of public projects. They are simple to organize and widely viewed as a painless form of taxation. Historically, state lotteries have followed a similar pattern: the state legitimises a monopoly for itself; establishes a government agency or public corporation to run the lottery (rather than licensing a private promoter in return for a share of the profits); starts operations with a modest number of relatively simple games; and then, due to constant pressure for additional revenues, progressively expands its offering of new games.
Regardless of the actual odds of winning, people play lotteries because they enjoy the idea of being able to pull off a miracle. It is the very idea of instant riches in a time of inequality and limited social mobility that drives a huge percentage of lottery play.
However, there is a deeper motivation behind this inextricable human impulse to gamble that goes beyond the mere desire for riches. Lottery advertising is designed to exploit the fact that the average person believes there is a small sliver of chance that they will somehow “make it big.” This irrational belief is reinforced by the way lottery promotions are displayed—large jackpot prizes, flashy billboards—which all combine to give the illusion that success in lottery draws is a matter of luck.
In fact, the chances of winning a prize in the lottery depend on how many tickets are sold and how much each ticket costs. Each drawing has the same odds for every ticket bought. However, it is possible to increase the odds of a win by buying more tickets or more expensive tickets. This is why some states have been increasing or decreasing the number of balls in order to alter the odds.
While the popularity of lotteries varies by state, in general they have broad and durable support. Even when the underlying economic circumstances of the state are good, the lottery continues to be a popular source of revenue. Moreover, the fact that lottery proceeds are earmarked for specific public goods such as education helps to sustain support.
Although state lotteries have a long history in Europe, the modern revival began with New Hampshire’s establishment of a state lottery in 1964. Since then, 37 states and the District of Columbia have established their own lotteries. New Hampshire’s model inspired New York, which introduced a state lottery in 1970 and New Jersey in 1975.
Despite the popularity of lotteries, the underlying business model is flawed. As noted above, lottery revenues tend to increase dramatically at the outset and then level off or even decline. This is due to what is known as the boredom factor—the public quickly becomes accustomed to a steady flow of new games and loses interest in old ones. To avoid the boredom factor, state lotteries have introduced a series of innovations that have radically changed the industry. In addition to new games, they have also added features such as cash prizes, instant tickets, and computerized drawings.